Prediction of Sports Injuries by Mathematical Models

By Juan Carlos de la Cruz-Márquez, Juan Carlos de la Cruz-Campos, Adrián de la Cruz-Campos and Belén Cueto-Martín.

Published by The Sport Collection

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Article: Electronic $US5.00

In most epidemiological studies directed toward identifying major sports injury causation factors, injured athletes have been compared with uninjured athletes through single variable techniques. However, many of the factors highlighted in this proposal through these analytical techniques either interact or are interrelated. Multivariable statistical techniques have been used to detail risk factor interaction, such as discriminatory analysis and stepwise logistic regression. In this proposal, we will identify potential predictive factors that can be used in logistic regression equations, the basic concepts of this mathematical study, and equations that have been developed into what they are today. The purpose of regression techniques is two-fold: first, to estimate the relation between two variables, while taking the presence of other factors into account; second, to construct a model that allows for the prediction of the value of the dependent variable (in logistic regression, the probability of success) for specific values of a predicted group of variables.

Keywords: Sports Injuries, Prediction, Mathematical Models

The International Journal of Sport and Society, Volume 3, Issue 4, pp.167-183. Article: Print (Spiral Bound). Article: Electronic (PDF File; 508.592KB).

Dr. Juan Carlos de la Cruz-Márquez

Tenured Lecturer, Physical Education Department, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

Dr. Cruz-Márquez is an M.D. who specializes in sports medicine, and he is a professor at the University of Granada. Dr. Cruz-Márquez teaches functional anatomy of the locomotor system and prevention of sports injuries. His areas of interest are kyneanthropometry, the biological assessment of sports training, and techniques to improve performance. He is authorized by the Higher Sports Council (Spain) to carry out doping controls. He is the director of the research group HUM 473 of the Junta de Andalucía titled “Biological Evaluation of Athletic Training,” and the research and development project, Assessment of Andalusian Teenagers: Prevention and Risk Factors. He is currently doing a research project in collaboration with the National Agency for Cooperation and Development (Spain) in the Dominican Republic entitled SHE Project (Science, Health and Education) for the promotion of health in Dominican teenagers.

Mr. Juan Carlos de la Cruz-Campos

PhD Student, Education Physical Department, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

Juan Carlos de la Cruz-Campos earned a degree in physical education and a Master’s degree in sports science. He is currently a trainer for the Granada Football Club (B).

Adrián de la Cruz-Campos

Master Student, Physical education Department, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

Adrián de la Cruz-Campos earned a Master’s degree in physical education and sports science.

Belén Cueto-Martín

Assistant Professor, Physical Education Department, University of Granada, Granada, Spain

Belén Cueto-Martín earned a doctorate degree in physical education. He has been a contracted doctor and professor at the University of Granada for the past 5 years, and specializes in volleyball and gender studies.